Boundary & Feasibility Summary from April 2025 Board Meeting

During the April 15, 2025 school board study session, the results of the Boundary and Feasibility study were presented.  You can watch this presentation from the Youtube recording of this study session or view a pdf of the slides used in the presentation.  The links is provided below.

• Boundary & Feasibility Summary from April 2025 Board Meeting
• Boundary & Feasibility Summary Slides

Here is the summary of that report.  

Provo City School District Community Demographics

• Total Population – 113,827
• Median Household Income – $58,070
• Total Households – 32,883
• Race/Ethnicity
  • 82% White
  • 1% Black or African American
  • 18% Hispanic or Latino
  • 2% Asian
  • 1% American Indian/Alaska Native
  • 1% Native Hawaiian or Other Pacific Islander
  • 4% Some other race alone
  • 9% Two or more races
• Year Structure was Built
  • 18.9% 2000 and after
  • 51.4% 1970-1999
  • 29.6% Before 1970
• Households with Broadband Internet – 78%
• Housing Structure Type
  • 50.2% House
  • 49.8% Apartment/Other

Parent Demographics

(Demographics of parents of children in public school.)

• Median income of households – $90,124
• Housing status of families
  • 47.4% renter occupied
  • 52.6% owner occupied
• Labor force status
  • 77% in labor force
• Educational attainment
  • 10% less than a high schoold graduate
  • 15% High school graduate
  • 28% Some college or associate’s degree
  • 48% Bachelor’s degree or higher

Schools in the District

• Sunrise Preschool – Preschool
• Franklin – Preschool-6th grade
• Provo Peaks – Preschool-6th grade
• Spring Creek – Preschool-6th grade
• Sunset View – Preschool-6th grade
• Amelia Earhart – Kindergarten-6th grade
• Canyon Crest – Kindergarten-6th grade
• Edgemont – Kindergarten-6th grade
• Lakeview – Kindergarten-6th grade
• Provost – Kindergarten-6th grade
• Rock Canyon – Kindergarten-6th grade
• Timpanogos –  Kindergarten-6th grade
• Wasatch – Kindergarten – 6th grade
• Westridge – Kindergarten-6th grade
• Provo eSchool – Kindergarten-12th grade
• Independence High – 9th-12th grade
• Centennial Middle – 7th-8th grade
• Shoreline Middle – 7th-8th grade
• Provo High – 9th-12th grade
• Provo Adult Education – 9th-12th grade

Timpview High – 9th-12th grade

Thinking Spatially – Communities of “Mutual Interest”

This is a map view of students in Provo that is then divided into study areas.

Elementary Enrollment by School and Student Residence

The below table is showing elementary school enrollment by school of enrollment and school of residence.  This is reflective of both boundary and policy.

Elementary Enrollment Maps

The below shows enrollment maps based on school and student enrollment.

The below maps shows Canyon Crest and Edgemont enrollment.

The below maps shows Rock Canyon and Wasatch enrollment.

The below maps shows Provo Peaks and Provost enrollment.

The below maps shows Timpanogos and Westridge enrollment.

The below maps shows Lakeview and Amelia Earhart enrollment.

The below maps shows Franklin and Sunset View enrollment.

The below maps shows Spring Creek enrollment.

Middle and High Enrollment by School and Student Residence

The below tables are showing middle and high school enrollment by school of enrollment and school of residence.  

Middle School Enrollment Maps

The below maps show Centennial and Shoreline enrollment.

High School Enrollment Maps

The below maps show Provo High and Timpview High enrollment.

DLI Enrollment by School and Student Residence

The below tables show elementary schools and their utilization of dual language immersion programs.

Maps of DLI Student Enrollment by School

The below maps show Wasatch and Timpanogos DLI Enrollment

The below maps show Lakeview and Edgemont DLI Enrollment.

The below map shows Canyon Crest DLI Enrollment.

Student Projections Flowshart

The flowchart below outlines how student forecasts are projected.

Provo School District Development

The below map shows Provo development.

The below maps are showing student yield samples.

The below shows district student yield. 

• Broadview Shores Student Yield:
  • 74 students / 115 houses = 0.64 or 6 students per 10 houses.
• Ospray Townhomes Student Yield:
  • 12 students/149 townhomes = 0.08 or less than 1 student per 10 townhomes

Methodology

Enrollment projections are an estimate of future activity.

• Average Percentage Increase Model
  • Calculates future school enrollment growth based on the historical average growth from year to year.
• Linear Regression Model
  • Estimates by performing calculations on known historical values and to create future values to provide a trend line. MGT has chosen a “straight-line” model to estimate future enrollment values that finds the best fit based on the historical data.
• Cohort Survival Model
  • Utilizes age related population data to indicate the number of students within each school level that can be expected based upon population projections to project future enrollment.
• Weighted Average
  • Average of each of models to reflect the trends and the over-arching themes to maximize the strengths of each of the base models.

Historical and Projected Enrollment by Band

The below graph shows historical and projected enrollment by grade band.

Develop and Validate Building Capacity

Functional Capacity is a choice:

• Facility’s age and condition
• Space functionality
• Program priorities
• Student needs (STEM, dual language, special education, art and physical education, and career and technical spaces)

Functional Capacity is developed using:

• Staffing worksheets
• Building plans and layouts
• Loading standards
• Current enrollment
• Intensive support rooms
• PreK classrooms
• Special programs
• Portables

MGT reviewed PCSD’s current capacities, facility maps, and program requirements in partnership with division leadership and building staff.

Capacity and Utilization

The below table show the current enrollment, maximum capacity and target capacity creating a utilizations score.

The below maps show the elementary utilization scores.

The below maps show the secondary utilization scores.

Potential Attendance Zone Adjustment Considerations

• Trasporto
  • Ensuring efficient and effective student transportation routes while working to limit the amount of time required on a bus.
• Impact
  • The total number of students impacted by boundary adjustments.
• Special Programs and Populations
  • Minimize disruption and impacts to special programs or special populations (e.g., free-and-reduced lunch programs, economically disadvantaged, DLI, G/T, special education).
• Neighborhood Schools
  • Prioritizing schools that serve students within their local neighborhoods and avoid “island zones.”
• Capacity and Utilization
  • Optimizing the use of school facilities to match current and projected enrollment balancing utilization at the current, 5-year, and 10-year forecasted trends.

Guiding Principles Examples

The below graphic shows the guiding principles for potential attendance zone adjustments.

Community Engagement Summary

• The majority of the 635 participants were Parent/Guardian of Districts Student(s), followed by District Staff Member, then Community Members.
• The overall perception of the condition of school facilities was they are “good” (51%). A distinct portion (27%) of respondents believed the conditions to be “Excellent.” 78% see school facilities as Good/Excellent.
• The top 2 most important planning objectives at 36% and 33% each were “Equitable Facilities District-Wide” and “Enhanced Educational Opportunities.” Strong support at 69% for CTE and STEM.
• In terms of requirements (Guiding Principles) for school facilities, “Neighborhood Schools” (57%), “Special Programs and Populations” (40%), and “Capacity and Utilization” (40%) were the top 3 choices.
• The majority (75%) of participants agreed they would support redrawing school attendance zones to make better use of facilities and plan for future growth, even if it results in changes to services such as transportation schedules.

Boundary Maps

The maps below show current elementary boundary and possible revised elementary boundary.

Revised Boundaries Capacity and Utilization

The below table shows possible revised boundaries capacity and utilization.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Canyon Crest boundary.

The below map shows the possible changes in the Edgemont boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Rock Canyon boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Wasatch boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Timpanogos boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Westridge boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Provo Peaks boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Provost boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Spring Creek boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Sunset View boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Franklin boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Lakeview boundary.

The below maps show the possible changes in the Amelia Earhart boundary.

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